[March 8, 2023]Hello, audience friends, welcome to “Qin Peng observation“. Today is March 7th, US Eastern Time, and March 8th, Beijing, Hong Kong and Taiwan time.
Today’s Focus: State Council Institutional Reform, ProjectingXi JinpingTwo key points of the new national strategy. What are the implications?
The CCP’s new foreign policy reveals its true face:Xi JinpingThere are two reasons for directly criticizing the United States;Qin GangThe first foreign policy show, the most concerned is this paragraph.
Qin GangHolding up the constitution to declare Taiwan’s sovereignty was ridiculed by the majority of netizens. The 33-year-old beauty major on the Liaoning ship has no military exploits and has become a representative of the 2 million People’s Liberation Army. Can this battle be won?
Qin Peng observation:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCwX6rw_QzJbFzvr1CzivxIg
Institutional reform has not seen the new Jinyiwei, finance and innovation have become two major priorities
Two sessions of the Communist Party of ChinaThere are many major issues worth talking about since it was opened today, one of which is institutional reform, which is finally released today. It has the following characteristics:
First, there is no rumored new Ministry of Internal Affairs, that is, the merger of the Ministry of State Security and the Ministry of Public Security, separated from the State Council, and turned into an inward-looking knife under the direct command of Chairman Xi of the Party Central Committee.
I think the reason for this, on the one hand, may be that the international backlash was too great after the Hong Kong media released the news before, so it was withdrawn; institutional reform, so we will discuss it later.
Second, the main reform contents include: the reorganization of the Ministry of Science and Technology, the establishment of the National Bureau of Statistics, the reorganization of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, the adjustment of the work system for the elderly, the reorganization of the Intellectual Property Office, the change of the affiliation of the letter and call agency, and the establishment of the National Data Bureau. Streamline the establishment of state agencies. in:
1. The Ministry of Science and Technology, to put it simply, is a split, giving many functions to other departments, such as the Ministry of Agriculture, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the National Development and Reform Commission, and the Ministry of Human Resources. The Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security was established. The reason may be that the Ministry of Science and Technology was in charge of “Made in China 2025” before. It combined the introduction of foreign experts with the Thousand Talents Program. It has been hit by the United States in recent years, so it is now allocated. lest the tree attract the wind.
2. The National Financial Management Bureau was established, and the China Securities Regulatory Commission was promoted to an institution directly under the State Council. Some analysts believe that this means that the authorities’ big financial reform plan will be further released, the basic point is to strengthen financial supervision and avoid systemic financial risks; strengthen the financing function of the capital market to help China’s economic transfusion; in the future, it may also strengthen the realization of state-owned assets and Management, come to the fore in the Temasek model.
However, friends in China’s domestic financial circles commented on this reform of large financial institutions: “In the name of reform, change bank managers and clerks, finance is dead, and papers are burned if something happens.”
A big change here is that they have changed from the original treatment of public institutions to civil servants. It seems that the qualifications have been improved, but the salaries of the relevant personnel will be reduced a lot at once. It is said that many people have already started to scold their mothers. However, I think that for people in other central ministries and commissions, this is also a manifestation of “common prosperity”. After all, the generous treatment of these institutions over the years has made other officials jealous.
In an era of highly financialized wealth, the CCP’s large-scale financial reform will cause many changes and impacts. We will analyze it in detail later, and please continue to pay attention.
3. In the reform of the intellectual property system, the main change is that the sub-organization of the State Administration for Market Regulation has been designated as an agency directly under the State Council, which represents that the Chinese Communist Party attaches great importance to innovation. The appearance of representatives from the AI and chip industries coincides with each other, and is also in line with Xi Jinping’s latest emphasis on “scientific and technological self-reliance”.
but. We talked about it in yesterday’s program, which also means that Xi Jinping is ready to further deteriorate relations with the United States, Europe, Japan, and South Korea, so the overall situation is not a good thing. Let’s talk about Xi Jinping and Qin Gang’s remarks in a while.
4. The establishment of the National Data Bureau will strengthen the CCP’s digital centralization and will also intensify the battle for international security. The Data Bureau is mainly established by Xi Jinping’s direct descendant, the Cyberspace Administration of China. It centralizes and manages the big data that was originally managed by the Central Cyberspace Affairs Commission, the General Office of the State Council, the National Development and Reform Commission, and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology. This represents the central government’s emphasis on big data, and also It means that the CCP’s plan to expand abroad relying on digitalization will be strengthened. With the introduction of the policy, we will see in the future that the international community will revolve around apps similar to TikTok, including WeChat (WeChat), Alipay, and digital RMB. The battle for security will intensify.
In the past few days, the Chinese-made port gantry cranes, which occupy more than 80% of the US market and have caused controversy, are considered by US security officials to be tools of espionage. Such products will also be the concern of the Data Bureau.
5. Streamlining the establishment of central state agencies has attracted much attention, but the proportion is only 5%, which can be said to be a joke. A normal country has only one administrative team, but in China there are a lot of useless blood-sucking institutions such as party committees, political consultative conferences, women’s federations, and Communist Youth League. deemed meaningless.
However, this sent out two important signals: in the central government, this is a way for Li Qiang, the new CCP Standing Committee member, to reshuffle the political cards and replace them with their own people; Strength, the good times of civil servants are coming to an end. In an era of increasingly tight finances, this means that the CCP’s system and internal conflicts and turmoil will inevitably come.
6. The Letters and Calls Bureau was directly under the General Office of the State Council and became a bureau directly under the State Council. This actually doesn’t make any real sense. Professor Yu Jianrong, director of the Social Issues Research Center of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences’ Rural Institute, once said that the CCP’s petition system is not a product of a society ruled by law. So it should be cancelled. However, in order to give people a false hope that the central government is good and the higher-ups are good, and that it is the lower levels that are doing things wrong, the authorities deliberately kept the Bureau of Letters and Calls.
To sum it up briefly, the most serious problem in China right now is the lack of confidence in private enterprises, private entrepreneurs and consumers. However, this time the institutional reform has made a lot of noise and little rain, and there is no real response to the real problem in China. The changes of the National Data Bureau and the Second Committee of the Bank seem to emphasize technological innovation and strengthen financial supervision, but they may cause other problems.
Xi Jinping Rarely Criticizes America’s Qin Gang’s Debut War Wolf Return
Two sessions of the Communist Party of ChinaAttracting global attention, one of the focuses of the outside world is where is the foreign policy of the new team headed?
On Tuesday (March 7), Qin Gang, Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Communist Party of China, answered questions from Chinese and foreign journalists on issues related to “China’s foreign policy and foreign relations”. In nearly two hours, he talked about the CCP’s macro-level policies and global governance concepts, as well as major international hot topics, such as China-US, China-Russia, China-Europe relations, as well as the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the “Indo-Pacific Strategy”, Taiwan’s The questions were answered, and the attitude and understanding of “Wolf Warrior Diplomacy” were also discussed. Very informative.
The most quoted by the outside world is Qin Gang’s exposition on Sino-US relations. Let’s listen to it:
It has to be said that party-state officials are always full of boundless love for the US emperor. When they saw the evil US emperor about to overturn, they couldn’t bear it to fall off the cliff and die. Instead, they insisted on reining in the precipice and building guardrails to protect it. .
The Western world’s interpretation of Qin Gang’s speech is as follows: The British “Guardian” said that China’s new foreign minister “violently” stated at the press conference that if Washington does not change its approach, the United States and China will move towards an inevitable conflict.
US CNBC stated that Qin Gang said that Sino-US relations have deviated from a rational track, and if the US does not step on the brakes, conflicts will arise.
Bloomberg said that China warned the United States that adopting a policy of “containing” China may have disastrous consequences. Qin Gang believes that the so-called efforts of the United States to build a guardrail for Sino-US relations lack sincerity. American media such as CNN, Associated Press, and “Capitol Hill” said that “China’s criticism of the United States is very violent.”
Regarding the Russia-Ukraine war, while dressing up the CCP as a peace envoy, Qin Gang also pointed the finger at the United States, saying: However, it is regrettable that the efforts to persuade peace and promote talks have been repeatedly undermined, and it seems that there is an “invisible hand”. “Promoting the delay and escalation of the conflict, trying to use the Ukrainian crisis to serve some kind of geopolitical conspiracy.
In this regard, Al Jazeera believes that this means that the CCP has decided to advance its relationship with Russia.
I don’t know if it was a coincidence, but Al Jazeera posted a picture of the Ukrainian veteran who has been surfing the Internet for the past two days. We know that after being captured, facing the threat of the Russian army, he took two puffs of cigarettes calmly, shouted the slogan “Glory to Ukraine”, and died calmly.
As for this war, although Qin Gang continued to play the role of peacemaker, the outside world has noticed that Qin Gang pointed out that Sino-Russian relations are a model of international relations. Strategic balance and stability are guaranteed. The more turbulent the world is, the more China-Russia relations should move forward steadily.”
Qin Gang also said that China’s diplomacy has pressed the “accelerator button” and sounded the “assembly call”. Netizens couldn’t help complaining about the disgusting flattery.
Qin Gang also defended wolf war diplomacy, saying that when wolves strike, Chinese diplomats must dance with wolves.
What does this series of speeches by Qin Gang mean? The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Communist Party of China, under the leadership of Xi Jinping, officially changed the sheep diplomacy that started in November last year, and returned to the path of wolf warrior diplomacy. On the one hand, fighting against the Western world headed by US imperialism, on the other hand, strengthening partnerships with Russia, Iran, Belarus, Venezuela, and North Korea will be the main theme of Xi Jinping’s third term of diplomacy. He also believes that this is “an expedition full of glorious dreams.” , is a long voyage through the turbulent sea. Only its arduousness is even more glorious.”
This kind of wording and Mao Zedong’s so-called revolutionary romanticism, I think it is very similar to Xi Jinping’s own expression.
Because, just on Monday, when Xi Jinping participated in a group meeting of some CPPCC members, he also rarely publicly criticized the United States, saying that “Western countries headed by the United States have implemented all-round ‘containment, containment, and suppression’ against me.” posed unprecedented challenges.”
Xi also said that “the external environment for China’s development has been changing rapidly. Uncertain and unpredictable factors have greatly increased”. He also said that in the past five years, a series of new obstacles had emerged that threatened to hinder China’s economic development.
Combining the statements of Qin Gang and Xi Jinping, we can draw a clear conclusion that Xi Jinping has returned with the wolves.
In fact, this is easy to understand: from the womb, the CCP’s ambition is to dominate the world, that is, to liberate all mankind and point the way to the world. In recent years, the top leaders of the CCP believe that the decline of the United States has become a trend, so sheep diplomacy Can be temporarily hidden.
Wolf Warriors will make a high-profile comeback
However, I think there are two major reasons for the high-profile return of Wolf Warriors this time, which highlights that Xi Jinping is currently in great trouble, with internal and external difficulties added:
First, from an external point of view, the CCP has suffered setbacks one after another, turned into anger from embarrassment, and chose to keep warm with Russia.
From the end of last year to the beginning of this year, the CCP had hoped that Blinken’s visit to China would bring about a spring in the relationship between the two countries, but it is now out of reach. The spy balloon incident is a turning point. The United States is united in the same hatred, while Europe’s unshakable stance on the Russia-Ukraine war makes it impossible for the CCP to continue to play the image of a peace envoy. Therefore, Xi Jinping gave up his illusions and prepared to fight.
Second, Xi Jinping’s domestic pressure is unprecedented, and doubts about him come from at least five aspects. Under totalitarian rule, losing authority is what those in power fear most:
1. The three-year zero-clearing dealt a heavy blow to the economy, and the majority of entrepreneurs and ordinary consumers were full of resentment towards him;
2. The unprepared and sudden release of the lockdown has caused a large number of CCP officials and people to lose their relatives. I have analyzed that the real number is tens of millions even if it is conservatively estimated. There is no doubt that Xi Jinping, who personally commands and deploys, needs to deal with responsible for this;
3. What about high-tech industries? However, due to the attacks in recent years, as well as the hostility between the CCP and the United States, there have been setbacks one after another, and someone should also be responsible;
4. Foreign trade exports have been hit hard, and the tide of unemployment has arrived. For example, today (March 7), more than 4,000 stocks fell. One of the important reasons is that the import and export data for January and February of this year were released, which was very unsatisfactory overall.
In terms of U.S. dollars, China’s total import and export value in the first two months of this year was 895.72 billion U.S. dollars, a decrease of 8.3%. Among them, exports were US$506.3 billion, down 6.8%; imports were US$389.42 billion, down 10.2%; trade surplus was US$116.88 billion, up 6.8%.
5. Doubts and challenges to Xi Jinping also come from governments at all levels. His policies have led to a financial crisis and the treatment of civil servants has suffered. As I said yesterday, this year’s land revenue plan is basically the same as last year’s plan, which means that it has dropped by nearly 30% compared with last year’s plan. Today, Ni Hong, the Minister of Housing and Urban-Rural Development of the Communist Party of China, confided a set of figures when cheering for real estate today, showing us that the authorities are already in trouble.
He said: There is a “456” summary about real estate, that is, real estate-related loans account for 40% of bank credit, real estate-related income accounts for 50% of local comprehensive financial resources, and 60% of residents’ wealth is in housing. It can be said that real estate affects the whole body. To stabilize real estate, we must adhere to precise policy implementation, one policy per city, vigorously support rigid and improving housing demand, boost confidence, and promote the stable and healthy development of the real estate market.
However, as we all know, China has a surplus of housing, insufficient rigid demand, and it is even less likely for real estate speculators to have confidence, so there is no solution to this dilemma.
In other words, the Xi Jinping regime is now encountering unprecedented internal and external pressure, so, as Lenin, the patriarch of the CCP, said, “patriotism is a harmful and insane form of nationalism. Patriotism is to convince you that This country is more outstanding and great than all other countries in the world, just because you have no choice when you were born in this barbaric land. Whenever there is a major political and economic crisis in the country, you will pull out the smelly The broken flag of patriotism. Patriotism is the last refuge of scoundrels.”
The 33-year-old beauty major with the top of the constitution will help in the fight against Taiwan?
Qin Gang also played a Taiwan card to incite nationalism internally and divert conflicts. However, his performance was ridiculed by a large number of netizens.
Let’s first enjoy the wonderful clip of Qin Gang holding up the Constitution:
Qin Gang obviously came prepared, but the netizens are not polite and there are too many wonderful remarks, so we can only select a part for everyone to enjoy:
For example, Sister Feng said “a small book that can be changed at will”, and some people said “Putin: The four Udon states are an inalienable part of the Russian constitutional territory”, “That constitution also grants the 1.4 billion Chinese people freedom of speech, publishing Freedom, freedom of assembly and association, democratic elections and other sacred rights! More than 70 years have passed, and the result? At least several million Uyghurs, Tibetans, Han dissidents and political prisoners are tortured, illegally persecuted, and live every day. In fear…”, “In public, is taking out this thing ready to rape the global IQ?”
Someone else said, “President Liu Shaoqi also used the constitution to argue about things, but he ended up miserable.” “What logic? Robber logic, prove yourself, say what is mine is mine, and what is yours is also mine.”
As for me, I remembered the true story:
A sculpture at China’s Northwest University of Political Science and Law, with the Earth on top of the Constitution. Students: The constitution is a top ball. Later, more people talked about it, and the school simply removed the shelf. The students said this time: The constitution directly hits the ball. The school officials tore down the earth on it. Then, the students said: Well, this time the constitution ball is not topped. In the end, the school simply demolished it all. The students said again: Come on, the constitution has been forcibly demolished!
Of course, it doesn’t matter whether the CCP dares to attack Taiwan or not, but we all know that the CCP will never forget it. On the one hand, Taiwan’s democracy, rule of law, and freedom are the best mirrors of the CCP’s tyranny. On the other hand, if the CCP wants to jump out of the first island chain and go to the blue ocean to dominate the world, Taiwan is also a hurdle that cannot be bypassed. Therefore, the CCP will eventually fight.
At this time, the 33-year-old Zhu Yuemeng, the political instructor on the Liaoning ship of the Chinese Communist Party Navy, became the focus of attention on the Internet. She was selected by the authorities as an “excellent political teacher of the whole army” and became a representative of the National People’s Congress, calling out to young people, “Welcome more young friends to join the aircraft carrier business and sail to further seas with me.”
However, at such an age, he became one of the representatives of the 2 million People’s Liberation Army without making any achievements. Netizens still questioned “Is there any advanced deeds that can be talked about publicly?”, “Obviously a model”, “Everyone understands “.
I don’t know, what will happen to such an officer on the battlefield?
Well, that’s all we’re going to talk about today, please subscribe to ” Qin Peng observation》, let us look at the essence through the phenomenon, stand on the political, economic and historical heights together, and observe major events at home and abroad. Thanks and see you tomorrow!
“Qin Peng observation“Production team
Editor in charge: Li Hao
.